Friday, May 15, 2020

Nine Decades of Arab Rejectionism

Jewish Agency poster 1930's

Israel Is Not the Obstacle to the Two-State Solution - Melanie Phillips

It is the Palestinians who have destroyed the possibility of a Palestinian state. Offered it repeatedly from the 1930s onwards, they have refused it every time. Nine decades of the Palestinians rejecting the two-state solution might possibly mean that the Jews aren't the obstacle.

The claim that the restoration of Jewish sovereignty over parts of the West Bank would destroy the possibility of a Palestinian state is untrue. Every serious Middle East peace plan has accepted the eventual incorporation into Israel of the major settlement blocs to safeguard its security.

Opposition to the "annexation" is driven by the belief that Israel illegally occupies these territories. But this is untrue. As several legal experts have pointed out over the years, the Jews are the only people to have a legal and moral right to this land. In 1922, the international community gave them the never-abrogated right to settle what is now Israel and the disputed territories. Restoring Israeli sovereignty to parts of Judea and Samaria will therefore actually correct a historic act of illegality. And it will help protect Israel against its existential enemies. 
The writer is a columnist for The Times of London. 
(JNS-Israel Hayom)
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Wednesday, March 04, 2020

"The Old Arab Order is Gone!"



Where Is the Arab Bloc that Championed the Palestinian Cause?
- Jonathan Spyer


The U.S. peace plan won't bring peace between Israelis and Palestinians, but it may expose deeper processes of change underway in the Middle East. Both the Palestinian cause and the broader Arab political bloc that long championed it are in disarray, while the Palestinians are divided geographically.
    

Viewing the power edifice that stood behind the Palestinian cause, Saddam Hussein's Iraq is a distant memory. Bashar Assad presides over rubble in Syria. Moammar Gadhafi's Libya is broken up. Egypt is Israel's strategic partner, enforcing its own partial blockade of Gaza.
    

It has fallen to Iran and Turkey to continue the Palestinian fight. 

That non-Arab states must take up the Arab world's traditional banner of the Palestinian cause confirms that the old Arab order is gone
The writer is director of the Middle East Center for Reporting and Analysis. 
(Wall Street Journal)
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Wednesday, February 19, 2020

How Can You "Occupy" Your Own Land?



The UN Should Be Ashamed of Itself - Stephen Daisley 
  • Jerusalem is Israel's capital; before that it was the capital of the ancient Kingdom of Judah. However hard the UN strives to erase the Jewish character of the city, its historical record isn't going anywhere. When Israel captured Judea and Samaria in 1967, they did so not from any state called Palestine (no such state has ever existed), but from Jordan, whose annexation was almost universally unrecognized - it was an illegal occupation - and prior to this these lands had been part of Mandatory Palestine.
  • Mandatory Palestine was created by the League of Nations to "secure the establishment of the Jewish national home." The Israelis have many innovations to their name, but perhaps their greatest feat is being the first nation-state in history to "illegally occupy" their own territory.
  • The people the UN harms when it works to isolate and delegitimize Israel are the Palestinians. It tells them that their long, painful campaign of national self-harm is just and holds out false hope that it will one day triumph. It won't.
  • The priority of anyone who professes to be pro-Palestinian should be convincing the Palestinians to recognize that Israel is here to stay and, on that basis, finally accept offers of peace and statehood.
(Spectator-UK)
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Wednesday, February 12, 2020

Sharansky on Arafat & Trump



The Promise of the Trump Peace Plan - Natan Sharansky and Gil Troy 

  • The conventional wisdom is that the Palestinian leadership didn't show up to receive the U.S. peace plan because Palestinians didn't get a good deal. This assumes these leaders would be interested in making peace, if only Israel made the right concessions. While many in the West wish this to be true, what's really missing is a Palestinian leadership interested in Israel as a peace partner.
  • In the early 1990s, Israeli leaders and their Western counterparts brought Arafat back from exile in Tunis and made him a dictator. They viewed Arafat's authoritarian nature as a plus - to control even more violent Palestinian enemies of peace such as Hamas.
  • But the zeal for peace at any price overlooked the basics of Dictatorship 101. Repressive regimes maintain control over their people by mobilizing them with external foes to fight and internal dissidents to destroy. To hold on to power, Arafat needed Israel as an enemy, not a partner.
  • During Arafat's 10-year reign of terror he brutalized his own people from the start, crushing all opposition. He alternated between talking peace and terrorizing Israel when each was useful to him, while twisting his education system to make sure the next generation of Palestinians would hate Israelis even more. Meanwhile, he kept Western leaders believing that one more Israeli concession, one more agreement, would bring a peace he never intended to deliver.
  • Natan Sharansky served as Israel's minister of industry and trade in the 1990s and was involved during the Oslo period in efforts to bolster the Palestinian economy. This firsthand look was sobering. For Arafat and his henchmen, it was more important to keep job creation and distribution under their control than to promote prosperity for ordinary Palestinians. International investments became opportunities for patronage and racketeering.
  • Four years aren't enough to make a full transition from dictatorship to democracy or from decades of war to peace. But it could be enough for the first seeds of Palestinian civil society to sprout.
Mr. Sharansky was a political prisoner in the Soviet Union and served in four Israeli cabinets. Mr. Troy is a professor of history at McGill University.
(Wall Street Journal)
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Thursday, January 30, 2020

The Arab-Israeli Conflict is Essentially Over



If the Palestinians Reject the Peace Plan, What's Their Alternative?
- David Ignatius 

    

Throughout the dense text of the peace plan that President Trump announced is a stark but unstated question to the Palestinians: If you reject this deal, as bad as you think it may be, what are you going to get instead?
    

He is telling the Palestinians that after three decades of rejecting better offers than this one, they're in danger of being abandoned by the Arabs, who will decide to move on and normalize relations with Israel even if the Palestinians say no.
    

Trump's leverage is that many leading Arab states are giving what's close to tacit support to the proposal and its promise of eventual normalization between the Arabs and Israel.
(Washington Post)


For Palestinians, the Landscape Has Shifted
- David M. Halbfinger and Isabel Kershner 


[The] Arab world that has largely moved on. With only muted reaction from Arab neighbors and little apparent appetite among Palestinians for a violent response, a peace proposal that might have been considered outlandish a decade ago landed with little serious opposition.
(New York Times)

See also:
Saudi Arabia Backs U.S.-Israel Efforts to Achieve Mideast Peace
(
Saudi Press Agency)

Egypt Urges Israel, Palestinians to "Carefully Study" U.S. Peace Proposal
(
i24News)



Palestinians Show Limited Reaction to U.S. Peace Plan 
- Pinhas Inbari 

Palestinian sources in Ramallah said the city's tradesmen have refused to engage in the trade strike that the PA sought to initiate, and the parents of schoolchildren have refused to involve their children in PA demonstrations.
(Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)


Arab Leaders' Support for Plan Marks a Regional Shift

- Dion Nissenbaum


Officials in Arab capitals have been frustrated by Palestinian leaders' reluctance to compromise, which has prevented them from strengthening ties with Israel. The U.S. has wooed officials from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Oman, Bahrain, and other nations in the region in an effort to transcend the political impasse, and to some extent they are responding. Saudi Arabia and the UAE both urged Palestinian leaders to accept the U.S. plan as a basis for new talks with Israel.

    
"It's the first time, I think since the start of the conflict, that the Arab position has not been a replica of the Palestinian position," said David Makovsky, director of the Project on Arab-Israel Relations at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. "That speaks to a wider sense of regional priorities that the Arab countries have." The modified tone in Arab capitals is a reflection of the shifting relationships in the region, where nations officially at war with Israel are strengthening ties with its companies and leading figures. 
(Wall Street Journal)

Where Once There Was Fury, Palestinian Issue Now Stirs Up Apathy
- Martin Chulov


For much of the last 70 years the cause of Palestine stirred the Arab street. Wars were fought and lost in their name. By the time Iran became the preoccupation of the U.S. and its allies in the region, the Palestinians were cast into the unfamiliar role of playing second fiddle. The unveiling of the U.S. Middle East peace plan has generated neither enthusiasm nor anger - only apathy.

    
Ambassadors from Oman, Bahrain and the UAE were present when Trump unveiled the plan in the White House, marking a very public endorsement. Riyadh, which once drew much of its regional clout from defending the Palestinians, was mute. The Palestinians had become a burden, financially and politically, and were no longer worth the investment, the Saudi crown prince had concluded. There were bigger fish to fry in Iran, after all, and Israel could help them do that. 
(Guardian-UK)



U.S. Plan Will Double the Size of the PA - Omri Nahmias


Senior White House adviser Jared Kushner told CNN's Christiane Amanpour on Tuesday that the Palestinians "have a perfect track record of missing opportunities. If they screw this up, I think that they will have a very hard time looking at the international community in the face saying they're the victim, saying they have rights. This is a great deal for them. If they come to the table and negotiate, I think they can get something excellent." Kushner stressed that the plan will double the size of the territory the Palestinians have now.
    

Kushner told Al-Arabiya that the Palestinians are not going to get a state "by doing a day of rage. All doing a day of rage shows is that they're not ready to have a state. That's not what people with states do." 
(Jerusalem Post)


U.S. Peace Plan Is Fair and Just - Eugene Kontorovich

The Palestinians are perhaps the only national independence movement in the modern era that has ever rejected a genuine offer of internationally recognized statehood, even if it falls short of all the territory they had sought. Hundreds of groups seek statehood, and some - like the Kurds - seem to deserve it. But almost none get it.
    
For Palestinian leaders to reject such an offer of statehood from a U.S. administration best poised to deliver it - along with $50 billion in promised international investment in a new Palestinian state - shows that the Palestinians and their allies still see undermining Israel as their primary goal.
    

The U.S. plan also crucially inverts the paradigm in which the Palestinians keep getting offered more for saying "no." In the new plan, if the Palestinians do not agree to the peace deal - and do not meet minimal conditions - Israel can proceed to secure its interests without them.
The writer, a professor and director of the Center for International Law in the Middle East at George Mason University Law School, is also a scholar at the Kohelet Policy Forum in Jerusalem.
(
Fox News
)
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UPDATES:



Fatah's official Facebook page had this lovely ditty in response to the deal
 
 
See Jared Kushner's PowerPoint Presentation HERE

Monday, January 06, 2020

Reflections on Soleimani Assassination

The face of evil

Death of Iranian Soleimani Won't Mean World War III - Ray Takeyh 

After years of striding across the Middle East seemingly in command of the region, Gen. Qasem Soleimani, head of Iran's Quds Brigade, was finally killed by American airstrikes early Friday. History will not mourn one of the great mass murderers of our time who was responsible for scores of dead, mostly Arab and American.

In the past decade, Soleimani turned terrorism into an effective instrument of Iran's imperial expansion by marshaling a transnational Shia expeditionary force that has prevailed in conflicts across the Middle East. His death will be a blow to the Iranian theocracy but could very likely temper the clerical oligarchs, who tend to retreat in the face of American determination.


As Soleimani began expanding Iran's imperial frontiers, he understood that Persians would not be willing to die in distant battlefields for the sake of Arabs, so he focused on recruiting Arabs and Afghans as an auxiliary force. In Iraq, that meant killing and maiming nearly 1,000 American service members. In Syria, that meant enabling President Assad's killing machine.

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is a cagey leader who did not become one of the longest serving rulers in the Middle East by impetuously going to war with America. The clerical oligarchs respect American determination and understand the imbalance between a superpower and a struggling regional actor. We should not expect Iran to take on a president who just ordered the killing of one of their famed commanders.

When Ronald Reagan assumed the presidency, Iran hastily released the American diplomats it had held hostage for 444 days. When George W. Bush's shock and awe campaign quickly displaced the Taliban in Afghanistan and Saddam Hussein in Iraq, Iran responded by suspending its nuclear program.
The Iranian-born writer is a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.
(Politico)


The Old Foreign-Policy Rulebook Shielded Bad Actors - Jonathan S. Tobin

Qasem Soleimani was the mastermind of the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism. No matter how much mayhem he spread, he believed that he was untouchable. And three American administrations run by both Democrats and Republicans validated that belief, forgoing opportunities to kill the man who had the blood of many Americans and countless Syrians, Lebanese, Israelis and others on his hands. But following the orchestration of attacks on American forces in Iraq and an assault on the U.S. embassy in Baghdad, Soleimani's get-out-of-jail free card given by the international community expired.


What happened was more than a settling of scores. It proclaimed that the old rules by which Iran had been able to do its worst against the U.S., Israel and the West - never to face any consequences - were no longer valid. The foreign-policy rulebook that had restrained America in the past wound up shielding bad actors like Soleimani.

Killing Soleimani won't start a war; Iran has been waging a hot war against America and its allies for years. The Soleimani operation makes it clear to Iran's leaders, perhaps for the first time, that the costs of their provocations are now going to be borne by them, and not only their foes. Playing by rules that served the interests of a rogue regime is what endangered American lives and interests by making Iran stronger and feeling less constrained about employing its brutal tactics.
    
A world in which the world's leading state sponsor of terror is afraid of the U.S. can't be much worse than one in which the ayatollahs have nothing but contempt for Washington's resolve to defend American interests.
(
JNS)



Calm Down: Killing Soleimani Made Us Safer - Elizabeth Tsurkov

Killing Qasem Soleimani counterintuitively decreases the threat of an all-out war. Soleimani's importance in projecting Iranian hard power and political influence across the Middle East cannot be understated. He oversaw the establishment, training, funding, command and control of (mostly Shia) militias across the Middle East; he also oversaw assassinations of Iranian regime opponents and attacks targeting civilians (many of them Jewish) in Europe and Latin America, as well as support to groups such as the Houthis in Yemen, Hamas, and Palestinian Islamic Jihad.
    

Since the 1979 Islamic Revolution, Iran has been a rogue actor in its relations with the West, establishing militias responsible for kidnapping and killing Westerners, running assassination squads in European cities, and covertly working to develop the capability to assemble nuclear weapons.
    

Soleimani's killing may reestablish U.S. deterrence and decrease Iranian adventurism in the region, because the truth is, despite its fiery rhetoric, Iran's leadership knows that a significant escalation on its part could be met with an even more deadly U.S. response - something it can ill afford. 
The writer is a Fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute in Philadelphia. 
(Forward)


Gen. Petraeus: U.S. Helped "Reestablish Deterrence" by Killing Soleimani - Lara Seligman

Former commander of U.S. forces in Iraq and Afghanistan and former CIA director Gen. (ret.) David Petraeus is keenly familiar with Qasem Soleimani. Soleimani's killing was designed to send a pointed message to the regime that the U.S. will not tolerate continued provocation, Petraeus said.
    

"It is impossible to overstate the importance of this particular action. It is more significant than the killing of Osama bin Laden or even the death of [Islamic State leader] al-Baghdadi....The reasoning seems to be to show in the most significant way possible that the U.S. is just not going to allow the continued violence - the rocketing of our bases, the killing of an American contractor, the attacks on shipping, on unarmed drones - without a very significant response."
    

"This is a very significant effort to reestablish deterrence, which obviously had not been shored up by the relatively insignificant responses up until now....Yes, they can respond and they can retaliate, and that can lead to further retaliation - and that it is clear now that the administration is willing to take very substantial action. This is a pretty clarifying moment in that regard."  
(Foreign Policy)


Taking Out Soleimani Was Morally, Constitutionally and Strategically Correct - Joe Lieberman

President Trump's order to take out Qasem Soleimani was morally, constitutionally and strategically correct. He was responsible for murdering hundreds of Americans and planning to kill thousands more. No American can dispute that Soleimani created, supported and directed a network of terrorist organizations that spread havoc in the Middle East.
    
There are worries that Soleimani's death will provoke a violent response from Iran. Yet if we allow fear of a self-declared enemy like Iran to dictate our actions, we will only encourage them to come after us and our allies more aggressively. It is more likely that his death will diminish the chances of a wider conflict because the demonstration of our willingness to kill him will give Iranian leaders (and probably others like Kim Jong Un) much to fear. 
The writer was a U.S. senator from Connecticut, 1989-2013. 
(Wall Street Journal)


Iranians Violated Ground Rules with U.S. - Jonathan Spyer

The U.S. killing of Soleimani occurred after the Iranians departed from a tacit ground rule they had hitherto maintained. As noted by a number of analysts, the Iranian regime was apparently permitted by Washington to strike at U.S. allies with impunity, and could even hit at U.S. hardware, but it would be best advised not to harm U.S. citizens. Iran failed to abide by this rule and set in motion the series of events culminating in the death of Soleimani.
    

Iran is physically capable of a response against U.S. forces and allied targets. But if Iran chooses to kill one or a number of U.S. citizens, then the evidence of recent days suggests that the U.S. may well be willing to escalate to a level of confrontation at which the Iranians cannot compete. 
The writer is director of the Middle East Center for Reporting and Analysis. 
(Jerusalem Post)


Hamas Criticized for Mourning Soleimani - Khaled Abu Toameh 
    

Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad leaders have been facing sharp criticism from other Arabs for setting up a mourning tent in Gaza for Qasem Soleimani. They also accused Hamas and PIJ of "disregarding the blood of thousands of Muslims" killed by Soleimani's force and allies in a number of Arab countries.
    
Mohamed Htaibat, a Jordanian professor of Islamic studies, said on Facebook: "Anyone who stands with Iran is standing against Sunnis." Palestinian political analyst Ibrahim Hamami posted on Twitter: "Mourning the murderer Qasem Soleimani represents a moral decline, political suicide, and hostility towards our nation."
(Jerusalem Post)
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UPDATES

War with Iran Is Not Inevitable - Hussein Ibish 

The leaders of the Islamic Republic like to think of themselves as strategic thinkers, with a keen understanding of their opponents and a knack for anticipating their next moves. But they clearly misjudged Donald Trump. Convinced the American president would do anything to avoid a war, they have for months been provoking the U.S. with progressively more intense provocations.

(Bloomberg)


The Demise of the Architect of Iran's Regional Ambitions - Baria Alamuddin

Over the broken backs of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq, Qasem Soleimani desired a Greater Persia bristling with nuclear and ballistic rockets, capable of threatening America, Israel and the Arab nations on equal terms. Iran - its economy shattered by sanctions - is succumbing to the same imperial overstretch as ancient Persia. Its people are starving while warmongering leaders struggle to pay the wages of overseas proxies.

    
Is the demise of the architect of Iran's regional ambitions not a lesson in the ruinous consequences of seeking to dominate far-flung territories beyond their borders? Perhaps the best form of defense is not to be an aggressor in the first place. Instead of terrorizing ourselves over the worst-possible scenarios of how Khamenei may choose to respond, we would be wise to act decisively in support of the best-possible outcome: the curtailment of Tehran's hegemonic ambitions. 
(Arab News-Saudi Arabia)


Easy Call: The Strike on Soleimani Was Lawful - Alan M. Dershowitz

There can be no serious debate about the president's constitutional authority to order a single attack on an enemy combatant who has killed and is planning to kill American citizens. Presidents Bill Clinton, George W. Bush and Barack Obama issued such orders.

    
The targeting of Soleimani was more justified, as a matter of law, than the targeting of Osama bin Laden in 2011. The killing of Soleimani was in large part an act of prevention, whereas the killing of bin Laden was primarily an act of retaliation.
    
The killing of Soleimani was also entirely legal under international law. The Quds Force commander was a combatant in uniform who was actively engaged in continuing military and terrorist activities against Americans. The rocket that killed him and a handful of others was carefully calibrated to minimize collateral damage, and the resulting death toll was proportionate to the deaths it may have prevented. 
The writer is a professor emeritus at Harvard Law School. 
(Wall Street Journal)
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MORE UPDATES

Targeting Soleimani Is a Major Blow to Iran - Hillel Frisch 
    

Soleimani's killing proves that the Iranian security system is riddled with informants.
    

They knew when Soleimani left his secret hideout in Damascus, what plane he boarded, at which airport he was going to land, which vehicles he and his retinue entered upon landing, and exactly what time those vehicles were heading out of the airport.
    

This suggests an information flow involving informants closely connected to the upper echelons of the Quds Force.
    

The killing creates a devastating chain of destructive suspicion and anxiety in the corridors of power.
    

Many will be removed, if not executed, as Iranian counterintelligence teams try to identify the informants.
The writer is a professor of political and Middle East studies at Bar-Ilan University and a senior research associate at its BESA Center for Strategic Studies.
(Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies-Bar-Ilan University)


Soleimani's Death Weakens Iran - Michael Doran

Taking out Qasem Soleimani, the architect of the Islamic Republic's long campaign of violence against the U.S. and its allies, especially Israel, will make Iran much weaker. It will embolden the country's regional rivals - primarily Israel and Saudi Arabia - to pursue their strategic interests more resolutely. It will also instill in the protesters in Iran, Lebanon and, especially, Iraq, the hope that they will one day wrest control of their governments from the talons of the Islamic Republic.

    
The U.S. search for a modus vivendi with Tehran never comported with the reality of the Islamic Republic's fundamental character and regional ambitions. A strong and visible response to Soleimani's escalations was long overdue. I know from my own experience, as a former senior official in the White House and the Defense Department, that the U.S. had several past opportunities to kill Soleimani but each time decided against it. This restraint did not make the world safer. It only gave Soleimani more time to build his empire.
    
The world to which we wake up today, rid of its most accomplished and deadly terrorist, is a better place. 
The writer, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute, served in the departments of State and Defense, and on the U.S. National Security Council. 
(New York Times)


Qasem Soleimani Connected All the Dots in Iran's Strategy
- Brig.-Gen. (ret.) Shimon Shapira and Lt.-Col. (ret.) Michael Segall 


Soleimani's instructing militias to invade the American Embassy compound in Baghdad was an arrogant move that did not take into account the American national trauma of the 2012 invasion of the American Embassy in Benghazi (and the murder of four Americans), as well as the 1979 seizure of the American Embassy in Tehran.
(Institute for Contemporary Affairs-Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
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Sunday, December 08, 2019

Slavery's Arab & Muslim Roots

"Slave Market" by Jean-Léon Gérôme


Painted in France in 1866 and titled "Slave Market," the painting "shows a black, apparently Muslim slave trader displaying a naked young woman with much lighter skin to a group of men for examination," probably in North Africa.

Objectively speaking, the "Slave Market" painting in question portrays a reality that has played out countless times over the centuries: African and Middle Eastern Muslims have long targeted European women—so much so as to have enslaved millions of them over the centuries (as copiously documented in my recent book, Sword and Scimitar: Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West, from which the following quotes and statistics are derived).

The Muslim demand for, in the words of one historian, "white-complexioned blondes, with straight hair and blue eyes," traces back to the prophet of Islam, Muhammad, who enticed his followers to wage jihad against neighboring Byzantium by citing its blonde ("yellow") women awaiting them as potential concubines.

For over a millennium afterwards, Islamic caliphates, emirates, and sultanates—of the Arab, Berber, Turkic, and Tatar variety—also coaxed their men to jihad on Europe by citing (and later sexually enslaving) its fair women. Accordingly, because the "Umayyads particularly valued blond or red-haired Franc or Galician women as sexual slaves," Dario Fernandez-Morera writes, "al-Andalus [Islamic Spain] became a center for the trade and distribution of slaves."

Indeed, the insatiable demand for fair women was such that, according to M.A. Khan, an Indian author and former Muslim, it is "impossible to disconnect Islam from the Viking slave-trade, because the supply was absolutely meant for meeting [the] Islamic world's unceasing demand for the prized white slaves" and "white sex-slaves." Emmet Scott goes further, arguing that "it was the caliphate's demand for European slaves that called forth the Viking phenomenon in the first place."

As for numbers, according to the conservative estimate of American professor Robert Davis, "between 1530 and 1780 [alone] there were almost certainly a million and quite possibly as many as a million and a quarter white, European Christians enslaved by the Muslims of the Barbary Coast," that is, of North Africa, the telling setting of the painting. By 1541, "Algiers teemed with Christian captives [from Europe], and it became a common saying that a Christian slave was scarce a fair barter for an onion."

With countless sexually enslaved European women—some seized from as far as Denmark and even Iceland—selling for the price of vegetables, little wonder that European observers by the late 1700s noted how "the inhabitants of Algiers have a rather white complexion."

Further underscoring the rapacious and relentless drive of the Muslim slave industry, consider this: The United States of America's first war—which it fought before it could even elect its first president—was against these same Islamic slavers. When Thomas Jefferson and John Adams asked Barbary's ambassador why his countrymen were enslaving American sailors, the "ambassador answered us that it was founded on the laws of their Prophet, that it was written in their Koran, that ... it was their right and duty to make war upon them [non-Muslims] wherever they could be found, and to make slaves of all they could take as prisoners."

The situation was arguably worse for Eastern Europeans; the slave markets of the Ottoman sultanate were for centuries so inundated with Slavic flesh that children sold for pennies, "a very beautiful slave woman was exchanged for a pair of boots, and four Serbian slaves were traded for a horse." In Crimea, some three million Slavs were enslaved by the Ottomans' Muslim allies, the Tatars. "The youngest women are kept for wanton pleasures," observed a seventeenth century Lithuanian.

Even the details of the "Slave Market" painting/poster, which depicts a nude and fair-skinned female slave being pawed at by potential buyers, echoes reality. Based on a twelfth-century document dealing with slave auctions in Cordoba, Muslim merchants "would put ointments on slave girls of a darker complexion to whiten their faces... ointments were placed on the face and body of black slaves to make them 'prettier.'" Then, the Muslim merchant "dresses them all in transparent clothes" and "tells the slave girls to act in a coquettish manner with the old men and with the timid men among the potential buyers to make them crazy with desire."

The historic events, statistics, and quotes narrated above—and more like them—are fully documented in Raymond Ibrahim's Sword and Scimitar: Fourteen Centuries of War between Islam and the West.
[The Middle East Forum] 



You will often, particularly online, hear people say something like this; the African slave trade was a ‘racist, white, patriarchal colonialist institution’, it was the white man’s hatred of the black man that fueled the slave trade.
Now, putting aside the fact that the word ‘slave’ developed from ‘Slav’, the white eastern Europeans who were taken as slaves so often their names became synonymous with the institution of slavery in Europe, this idea that the African slave trade was a ‘white, patriarchal, colonial institution’ is both ahistorical and ridiculous.
Did Colonialists engage in it? Yes. Did racists engage in it? Yes. Did white Europeans start the African slave trade? No. 
Long before white Europeans engaged in the African slave trade, Muslims, and prior to that Arab slave traders were heavily involved in running Slaves to and from Africa. 
The African slave trade, in all its various forms, existed long before England even existed as a nation, let alone set their sights on the evil trade. How long were these proto-Arabs involved in this trade before this passage? We cannot know, but here we have a clear indication that it has a long history in their culture.
Indeed, sadly this African slave trade still exists today, long after Colonial rule has been removed from the continent. With open slave markets in Libya and other parts of Africa. And we can safely predict, that sadly, it will probably go on for some time yet.
For most of early European history, various European people’s made slaves of each other. Greeks made slaves of other Greeks and non-Greeks, Romans of Thracians, Germans of Slavs, Romans of Celts and Gauls, etc, etc. But regarding our specific topic here, yes, Europeans, got involved in the evils of the African slave trade, and yes it corrupted us for a time. But we also put an end to it in the West.
[The Caldron Pool] 
[For a deeper dive into the history of Barbary piracy, click HERE

Friday, December 06, 2019

Brilliant White House Move Sidesteps Quagmire



White House Makes a MidEast Peace Move - Caroline Glick

Tuesday Israel’s Channel 13 reported that President Donald Trump’s Deputy National Security Advisor Victoria Coates held a meeting at the White House last week with the ambassadors of Oman, Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and Morocco. She reportedly asked the emissaries to check whether their governments are willing to consider signing non-aggression pacts with Israel.

The story, which the White House did not deny indicates the Trump administration has embraced an Israeli initiative, raised publicly last month by Foreign Minister Yisrael Katz. The idea is that through the non-aggression pacts, which are less than peace treaties, Israel and its Arab neighbors will be able to sidestep the issue of formal relations, replete with embassy opening ceremonies, and simply engage in open relations, for the benefit of all sides.

This has been the central goal of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s diplomatic strategy. For decades, foreign policy practitioners and activitists in the U.S., Europe and the Israeli left have insisted that peace between Israel and the larger Arab world is impossible so long as Israel has not concluded a peace treaty with the PLO. This view gives the PLO the power to dictate if, when and under what conditions Arab nations will be “allowed” to have normal relations with the Jewish state.
[CarolineGlick.com]
 

Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Military Dog Takes Out Arch Terrorist



A Battle Won in the War on Terror - Walter Russell Mead 
  • Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi's death isn't the end of ISIS. Angry, alienated and profoundly confused people will continue to find the message of ISIS and similar groups seductive.
  • Baghdadi and his lieutenants promised their followers paradise. They crafted a god in their own image - a god of genocide, violence, rape, enslavement - and claimed that this god was powerful enough to give victory in battle. It turned out they were wrong. Baghdadi's fate makes the task of recruiting fresh jihadists a little harder.
  • The fanaticism of Baghdadi and his ilk is a minority view. Most of the forces that ground the caliphate into dust came from the Muslim world; if ISIS tries to rise again, Muslims will again be on the frontlines trying to defeat it.
  • Not long ago, people in the West generally believed that we had the wisdom and the power to curb religious extremism by curing its causes. By promoting the political and economic development of the Muslim world, we thought we would reduce the appeal of radical religious ideas.
  • But those hopes were delusional. The West can help at the margins, but the cultural, social, religious and economic reform the Middle East needs will have to be enacted by the people who live there - in their own time and in their own way.
  • America won't "fix" the Middle East by killing bad guys like Baghdadi. But leaving them to flourish unmolested would be worse.

    The writer is Professor of Foreign Affairs and the Humanities at Bard College.
(Wall Street Journal)
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Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Is Trump's Policy on Kurds That Different Than His Predecessors?



Some Uncomfortable Truths about U.S. Policy in Syria
- Aaron David Miller, Eugene Rumer and Richard Sokolsky 

[W]hen the outrage over the initial Syria decision settles, as it must, clear-eyed decisions must be made about the U.S. role in Syria and the Middle East more broadly. And that means facing facts. Here are [facts] that ought to inform any reasonable debate going forward.
  • For nearly a decade, U.S. policy in Syria has been a never-ending mission impossible without realistic goals or the means to achieve them. The decision to abandon the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a mainly Kurdish-led militia, of which at least 40% are Syrian Arabs and other minorities, was predictable. It should have been clear that after the physical dismantling of the ISIS Caliphate, the U.S. relationship with the SDF would become increasingly fraught.
  • The SDF did not sacrifice its fighters out of love for America; rather, it hoped to harness U.S. power to help protect Kurdish territory and guarantee autonomy in a future Syria. Washington and the Kurds formed a marriage of convenience to defeat ISIS, but over the longer term there would have been a reckoning over divergent goals. It is an open question whether the next administration, Congress and the American public would be prepared to foot the bill of getting drawn into what would have been a nation-building exercise.
  • Putin did what the Obama and Trump administrations would not - intervene in the Syrian civil war. Putin won the Syrian civil war, and he deserves its spoils. And what spoils they are - a war-torn society, a ruined economy, bombed-out cities, and millions of refugees. If Putin wants to take on the burden of rebuilding Syria, fixing what his air force destroyed, and brokering peace among Syria's many factions, then we should let him.
  • But the idea that Putin's Syria gambit will allow him to take over the Middle East is just silly. Few, if any, core U.S. interests - halting nuclear proliferation, preserving Israel's security, preventing terrorist attacks against the homeland, and maintaining the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf - are likely to suffer.
  • Rather than chase unrealistic ambitions, the U.S. should remain focused on what its core interest in Syria has been since 2011: countering the threat from ISIS. The conditions that created ISIS are not going to go away. But Washington should assume that at some point Assad and his allies will act in their own self-interest - and they all want to prevent a resurgence of ISIS.
  • More importantly, attacks by ISIS, while horrific for the people of Syria, should not be conflated with a heightened threat to the American homeland. It has been 18 years since the U.S. suffered a terrorist attack that was planned and executed by foreign jihadists. Attacks on the U.S. homeland may well continue to be committed by radicalized U.S. citizens, but that problem won't be solved by maintaining American troops in Syria.
Aaron David Miller served as a State Department Middle East negotiator in Republican and Democratic administrations.  Eugene Rumer is director of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace's Russia and Eurasia Program.  Richard Sokolsky was a member of the Secretary of State's Policy Planning Office in 2005-2015.
(Politico)
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Monday, September 16, 2019

Will The US Hit Iran?




Iran's Return Handshake - Editorial
  

Iran has tested U.S. resolve with military escalation across the Middle East. Iranian involvement in attacks on Saudi oil production over the weekend marks a new phase.
     

President Trump is eager for direct talks with Iranian President Rouhani, and Secretary of State Pompeo floated a handshake meeting between the two at the coming UN General Assembly.
 

The weekend attack is Iran's return handshake.
(Wall Street Journal)


U.S.: Iran Fired Cruise Missiles in Attack - Martha Raddatz

Iran launched an attack from its territory on its neighbor, Saudi Arabia, using a dozen cruise missiles and over 20 drones to strike a key Saudi oil facility, a senior Trump administration official told ABC News. President Donald Trump warned the U.S. was "locked and loaded" to respond to the attack. A senior U.S. official told ABC News: "It was Iran. The Houthis are claiming credit for something they did not do." 
(ABC News)



Drone Strikes Knock Out Half of Saudi Oil Capacity
- John Defterios and Victoria Cavaliere
 

Drone strikes on key Saudi Arabian oil facilities in Abqaiq and Khurais have disrupted about half of the kingdom's oil capacity, or 5% of the daily global oil supply. While Yemen's Houthi rebels took responsibility for the attacks, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said: "Iran has now launched an unprecedented attack on the world's energy supply. There is no evidence the attacks came from Yemen." [The distance from Yemen to Abqaiq is 1,158 km. (720 miles).]
     

The U.S. "stands ready" to tap the country's Strategic Petroleum Reserve to steady oil markets if necessary, an Energy Department spokesperson said.
(CNN)
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UPDATES


Tehran Raises the Stakes - Amos Harel

The Iranian attack on Saudi oil installations is the most dramatic development in the Persian Gulf since the U.S. withdrew from the nuclear agreement in May 2018. 

The Iranian attack testifies to the improved capabilities of Iran's cruise missiles. While Israel is out of this system's current range, these capabilities are indicative of what might end up in the hands of Hizbullah. This signals the need for a speedy upgrade of Israeli defense and interception systems, with an emphasis on protecting strategic sites.
(
Ha'aretz)


The International Community Needs to Get Tougher on Iran - Editorial

By any measure this is a geopolitical enormity, a deliberate attempt to disrupt the world's oil supplies, followed up by threats from the Revolutionary Guard to fire on U.S. warships in the Gulf. Nothing justifies Iran's random arrest of foreign nationals and threats to undermine the global economy. The time has come for a unified response to the menace emanating from Tehran.
(
Telegraph-UK)


A Credibility Test - Michael Knights 

  • If significant portions of the intelligence community conclude that the world's most important energy site has been hit by unprecedentedly advanced weapons launched directly from Iran or by the regime's proxies, the finding would challenge not only Riyadh and Washington, but the entire global energy community, including China.
  • Iran has deliberately gone much further than its previous provocations, and if it avoids consequences once again, it may decide it has a free pass to go even further, whether against Saudi Arabia, Israel, or other U.S. partners. And other known global provocateurs will be watching how Washington responds, including Russia, China, and North Korea. For the sake of reestablishing deterrence, the attack must not go unanswered.
(Washington Institute for Near East Policy)
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MORE UPDATES:

Iran Sees No Drawback to Bellicose Strategy - David D. Kirkpatrick

Iranian scholars said Tehran has concluded that its recent aggressions have effectively strengthened its leverage with the West. Ali Ansari, a professor of Iranian history at the University of St. Andrews in Scotland, said that for Iranian hard-liners, "their policy of 'maximum resistance' is working."
   

Sanam Vakil, a scholar of Iran and the Persian Gulf at Chatham House policy institute in London, said the Iranians appear to have concluded from recent American actions that confrontation cannot lose, because even a potential American military action would almost certainly be a limited strike designed to avoid a prolonged ground war.
   

Domestically and in the region, surviving such a strike could strengthen the current Iranian government by rallying public opinion. "They are challenging American supremacy and forcing the international community to come to terms with a new relationship with the Islamic Republic," she said.
(New York Times)


Weighing U.S. Military Options in Iran - George Friedman

What will the U.S. do in response to Iran's drone and cruise missile attacks on Saudi Arabia's largest oil refinery? The attacks did not directly affect the U.S., save for the spike in oil prices, which actually helps the American oil industry.
   

There is a temptation to let the attacks slip into history. But the U.S. has formed an anti-Iran alliance in which Saudi Arabia is a key player. Doing nothing would call the U.S.-sponsored coalition into question. Failing to respond to an Iranian attack could help Iran increase its power throughout the region.
   

The Iranians know the dilemma they have posed for the U.S. They have bet that the risks are too high for the U.S. to respond.
(Geopolitical Futures)
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EVEN MORE UPDATES

Range of Options Presented to Trump - Eric Schmitt and Edward Wong

Senior U.S. national security officials met to refine a list of potential targets to strike in Iran, should President Trump order a military retaliation. 
    

Saudi Arabia is said to fear that any military response could lead to further attacks against its vulnerable oil facilities.
(
New York Times)



Many Options Short of War with Iran - Jeff Mason and Stephen Kalin

President Trump said there were many options short of war with Iran after its attack on U.S. ally Saudi Arabia's oil sites. "There are many options. There's the ultimate option and there are options that are a lot less than that," Trump said. "I'm saying the ultimate option meaning go in - war."  

(Reuters)


Operating in the "Gray Zone" to Counter Iran - Michael Eisenstadt

The combined drone/cruise missile strike against key Saudi oil facilities on Sep. 14 marks the most audacious in a series of Iranian asymmetric "gray zone" operations since May, all intended to counter Washington's "maximum pressure" policy. If Washington does not impose a military cost on Tehran for such actions, the regime will continue to escalate, with negative repercussions for the U.S. economy, American credibility, and regional stability.
    

Pursuing a gray zone strategy of its own represents Washington's best chance of avoiding significant escalation while buying time for its pressure campaign to work. Plausible deniability works both ways. The U.S. should respond in-kind to Iranian actions, using nonlethal ripostes to impose material costs.
    

Just as the Abqaiq strike demonstrated the vulnerability of Saudi oil facilities, Iran's own oil industry is vulnerable to sabotage, cyberattacks, and precision strikes. 90% of its oil exports go through a single terminal, Kharg Island. The U.S. should ensure that Tehran gets worse than it gives in these exchanges.
    

An effective U.S. gray zone strategy could help blunt Iran's counter-pressure campaign, constrain its ability to engage in destabilizing regional activities, and dissuade it from eventually attempting a slow-motion nuclear breakout. 

Conversely, failure to pursue such a strategy could embolden Tehran on all of these fronts. More fundamentally, if the U.S. does not operate successfully in the gray zone against a third-tier power like Iran, this will raise questions about its ability to counter much more capable actors like Russia and China in the years to come.
The writer is director of the Military and Security Studies Program at The Washington Institute.
(
Washington Institute for Near East Policy)



The West Cannot Ignore Iran's Attacks - Editorial

Iran is the greatest threat to the West. It has worked for decades to undermine moderate Arab regimes in the Middle East, to develop and acquire nuclear weapons, and to arm and support some of the worst terrorist organizations known to man: Hizbullah, Hamas, and the Houthis.
    

Israel has single-handedly been fighting Iran along its different borders for years. Israel's conflict with Hamas and Hizbullah is, in reality, against Iran. Both groups are Tehran's proxies. The world cannot let Iran continue to get away with its attacks. The time has long come for Tehran to pay a price for its violence, support of terrorism and nuclear violations.
    

If Iran can get away with attacking the U.S., attacking Saudi Arabia, and violating restrictions on its nuclear program, what will stop it from building a nuclear weapon one day and then using it against Israel or another Western country - especially when some of their leaders have made no secret of their intentions to do just so? If Iran's attacks go unanswered they will only intensify. 
(Jerusalem Post)
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