Sunday, February 12, 2012
Krauthammer: Israel will strike Iran
In the video above, Charles Krauthammer predicts Israel will strike Iran
IMPORTANT UPDATE:
Obama's Dangerous Game with Iran -Daniel Klaidman, Eli Lake & Dan Ephron
The head of Israel's Mossad was recently in Washington for meetings on Iran. According to an American official who was involved, Tamir Pardo wanted to take the pulse of the Obama administration and determine what the consequences would be if Israel bombed Iranian nuclear sites over American objections.
Israeli officials say that the U.S. thinks it can afford to wait until Iran is on the very verge of weaponizing, because U.S. forces have the capacity to carry out multiple bombing sorties and cripple the Iranian program at that point. Israel, however, would not be able to carry out such a sustained attack and would need to hit much sooner to be effective - before Iran could shelter much of its program deep underground.
One former Israeli official tells Newsweek he heard this explanation directly from Defense Minister Ehud Barak: "If Israel will miss its last opportunity [to attack], then we will have to lean only on the United States, and if the United States decides not to attack, then we will face an Iran with a bomb."
(Newsweek)
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2 comments:
While this assessment makes sense to some degree, it assumes that Israel can effectively reach Iranian weapons systems now--without resorting to nukes. That is not clear as Iran has been digging in more of its work. Iran has had decades and many lessons in how to avoid such operations and those measures are not beyond their abilities. Iran has clearly made it their business to become one of the most technologically advanced and dangerous of its neighbors, and has had free reign to do so since Iraq has not been a threat on its doorstep. The covert war on Iran's nuclear capabilities has been effective but an independent military assault runs the risk of not being effective and mobilizing Russian and Chinese cover physically instead of just in the UN. Diplomacy may or may not work but the military options that might be effective might necessitate a much broader action than Israel can deliver and that the rest of the world is not yet ready to deliver.
Israel's window is certainly closing, but there is no evidence that Israel cannot accomplish the goal.
A billigerant Iran without nukes is willing to spurn a terror spree [over the last few days]. Imagine an Iran with nukes.
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